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December 2, 2000
A Black and Blue Christmas?
Oooohhh, it got really ugly last week: the Nasdaq dropped 9%, contributing
to a 23% drop in November. The endless election, the slowing economy, and
corporate earnings worries hammered the techs in particular. Several
techs, including Gateway, warned of weakening sales. Jitters were
particularly acute in PCs and semiconductors. Most economic indicators are
indicating a definite slowdown, particularly in manufacturing. Auto sales
are going down the tubes. Expectations are rising that the Fed will ease
rates early in the year, and action in the bond market is reflecting that.
The Dow and S&P 500 have both corrected, and the Nasdaq's in a roaring bear
market. Mutual funds are sitting on mountains of cash and the first
quarter of the year always sees inflows into the market for pension plan
and IRA contributions. These factors may not turn the market around, but
they sure will help (and so would having a President).
FOR OTHER INSTALLMENTS OF ERICA'S COLUMN
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