The stock market continued to hit record highs this week based on those
factors we've discussed here for the last few months:good corporate
earnings;a rebound from the October correction; unrealized Southeast Asia
fears , especially for big tech stocks; perking up in Europe; bottoming
out in Asia; and continued inflows of money into the stock market (bless
those 401Ks!). The big beautiful growth stocks are leading as usual, and
small caps still lag.
If all is pretty much okay with the economic world, what is going to impact
the market? Subtle stuff, such as the rush in D.C. to spend the budget
surplus. What Congress and the President decide to spend on, e.g., an
increase in the minimum wage, tax cuts,etc., could affect the overall
market as well as individual stocks. Keep an eye on who gets the goodies
and when the largesse will have an impact.
Oil prices continue to weaken. OPEC made a strategic error by increasing
production just ahead of the slump in Asia and the balmy El
Nino-induced winter (at least here in Minnesota, Garden Spot of the Nation,
where we haven't had a good ice storm in years and where
hurricanes, typhoons, and mudslides just don't happen).
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