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Friday, September 21, 2007
Meet Mike Powell, a fire behavior analyst. It's his job to predict how wildfires will burn. We found him sizing up a blaze in Idaho.
Firefighters keep watch as flames burn through trees near Fawnskin, Calif. on Sept. 18, 2007. (David McNew/Getty Images)
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I am not buying the whole "there might not even be a recession, and if there is one, it will be brief." If oil prices continue to rise, driving inflation, the Federal Reserve will eventually be forced to raise interest rates in the middle of a slowdown. We are already seeing signs of a Japan style "liquidity trap" which is preventing the free flow of money from the banks to Main Street. I think the government's efforts to bail out the housing market will be about as effective as the response to Hurricane Katrina...
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What is "sustainability?" It boils down to this: Don't eat your seed corn.
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