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Monday, October 29, 2007

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U.S.-Mexico illegal immigration down

Tijuana beach fence border

Homeland Security is projecting much smaller numbers of illegal Mexican immigrants than last year. Alisa Roth reports the decrease might not just be due to a harder-working border patrol.

A Mexican man peers towards U.S. sands on the beach in Tijuana from behind the border fence. (Luis Acosta / Getty Images)

More on International, Immigration, Mexico, Politics

TEXT OF STORY

Scott Jagow: The Homeland Security Department is tallying up how many people were caught trying to cross the Mexican border in the past year. We know it's gonna be a lot fewer than last year -- probably less than a million people. More now from Alisa Roth.


Alisa Roth: Not suprisingly, Homeland Security says its patrols have made sneaking into the country much harder to do. But some say the harrowing trip isn't the only reason to stay away from the U.S.

Tony Payan is a political science professor at the University of Texas at El Paso:

Tony Payan: It is now increasingly difficult to live without documents in many more communities in the United States.

Meanwhile, some say crossing over has now gotten so tough that would-be migrants have stopped using garden-variety coyotes to shepherd them across, and are instead turning to drug smugglers for help.

Payan doesn't buy it:

Payan: They're huge organizations. The last thing they need is to be bothering with crossing people who have no money and who are just simply are going to look for a job in Phoenix or Denver.

Payan says he's also skeptical of the government's numbers, since they're based on extrapolation from other data. And he says the bureaucracy has every reason to fiddle with the figures.

In New York, I'm Alisa Roth for Marketplace.

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